Monday, November 2, 2015

POLLS and eternal optimism........

CBS News/New York Times Poll. Oct. 21-25, 2015. N=575 Republican primary voters nationwide. Margin of error ± 6.







"Which one of these candidates would you like to see the Republican Party nominate for president in 2016: [see below]?"



10/21-25/15
10/4-8/15
9/9-13/15
7/29 -
8/2/15



%
%
%
%


Ben Carson
26
21
23
6


Donald Trump
22
27
27
24


Marco Rubio
8
8
6
6


Jeb Bush
7
6
6
13


Carly Fiorina
7
6
4
-


Ted Cruz
4
9
5
6


Mike Huckabee
4
2
6
8


John Kasich
4
2
3
1


Rand Paul
4
4
3
4


Lindsey Graham
2
-
-
-


Chris Christie
1
3
1
3


Rick Santorum
1
1
1
1


Bobby Jindal
-
-
-
2


George Pataki
-
-
-
1


Jim Gilmore
-
-
-
1


Someone else (vol.)
-
-
-
1



ONE QUESTION AND ONE QUESTION ONLY

WHY HASN'T ANYONE DROPPED OUT OF THE RACE?

When you look at the list you have to consider that fund raising is the PRIMARY objective of each contestant (I won't call them candidates until The Donald drops out).

At this stage of the game you have to wonder WHY anyone would be giving money to anyone with 4% or less.......7% seems shaky, but Jeb is Jeb and Carly is....well Carly is Carly and since she is the only female on the GOP side I presume she just has to stay for as long as possible.  She's probably going for VP so no reason to hit the highway yet.

And I suspect that Christie also thinks the VP is possible so no reason for him to say adios.

The only answer that seems to make any sense is that each and everyone of the contestants regards themselves as the "Ultimate Eternal Optimist....put here on earth to save America."

EGOS THE SIZE OF INDIA CAN BE HARD TO CONTROL 
AND EVEN HARDER TO REDUCE
ESPECIALLY WHEN IT COMES TO PARTICIPATING IN THIS PARTICULAR TYPE OF CONTEST.

When parodies start taking shape it's pretty hard to reshape them into non-issues because they enter main stream media through means that people remember.....ie; Saturday Night Live, Late night talk shows, etc. etc........

An example of a runaway parody is Dr. Ben Carson and his apparent "sleepy time" personality.

The jokes are spreading fast. 
And unless he starts singing show tunes and doing an occasion Sam Kinison imitation.....he's
going to end up being a parody of himself.....which is not easy to do.

I know it's not possible but he seems to be on some very nice medication and since he is a doctor I would assume he has the best connections.

And since he and The Donald are basically tied at this point, maybe people like the mellow approach. And he's always standing next to DT on the stage so it's such an obvious contrast in personalities, that people might regard it as a super positive style.

It doesn't take much to appear calm and collected if you are standing next to The Donald.....even though I have to say DT appeared calmer in the last debate.

The Sunday morning news shows, like Meet the Press and Face The Nation, seem to always have pundits that think John Kasich is on the verge of climbing up the poll ladders.....and they've been saying that for two months now and yet......4%.

Jeb Bush supporters have no idea what's going on and they basically blame everything (low poll numbers) on Donald Trump.  I think their thoughts lean toward the concept that when the Ultimate Pretender drops out, then people will get real and jump on the Jeb bandwagon.....

......unfortunately that bandwagon might be a toy scooter by the time Donald decides he can't afford to be President because it doesn't pay enough.  By the way, has anyone told him that his assets would have to go into a blind trust, with his kids having total control?   I don't think DT likes to give up control of......ANYTHING.

I'm fairly certain that the Jeb Bush team doesn't have a clue regarding how the American people regard the last Bush President........the bottom line on that note is simple;  people like George W. Bush NOW THAT HE ISN'T PRESIDENT.

AND EVERY TIME DICK CHENEY SAYS ANYTHING.......IT HURTS JEB BUSH.  IT'S JUST AN ASSOCIATION PARADOX THAT WILL NEVER GO AWAY.

Rand Paul is rather interesting but he sounds like a character on a Seth MacFarland animation TV show.

Lindsay Graham wants to NUKE everybody and start all over.

Marco Rubio and Ted Cruz are rehearsing for the GOP ticket in 2020.

Mike Huckabee is just trying to increase his ratings for his TV show, and or be appointed Secretary of Religion (only Christians allowed)  by the next President.

Carly Fiorina makes me nervous when she starts talking and stating statistics and numbers.  After HP involvement I would think numbers would never be brought up.......but somehow, according to her,  she helped reestablish HP to it's original glory.

The two things they all have in common.....

THEY HATE PRESIDENT OBAMA
AND
THEY REALLY REALLY HATE
HILLARY CLINTON

Are those good enough reasons to be elected President of the United States?

I guess to be honest those are good enough reasons for 30 million people.....but not the other 60 million who actually determine the outcome.

I think it's time to do some crop thinning....the weeds are a bit thick, don't you agree. 

Eternal Optimism is the trade mark of a successful politician 
but POLLS matter, don't they?

Oh yeah, wait a sec...........when I look again at Donald Trump's numbers maybe POLLS don't matter anymore.

THE ENTIRE ELECTION PROCESS COULD BE REARRANGING ITSELF RIGHT UNDER OUR COLLECTIVE NOSES....

BIG
HUGE
SNEEZE!


GAZOONTITE!


Michael Timothy McAlevey























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